Publications

Kuiper, J. J., van Wijk, D., Mooij, W. M., Remme, R. P., Peterson, G. D., Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, S., Mooij, C. J., Leltz, G. M., Pereira, L. M. 2022. Exploring desirable nature futures for Nationaal Park Hollandse Duinen. Ecosystems and People. 10.1080/26395916.2022.2065360

Achieving global sustainability goals requires most people and societies to fundamentally revisit their relationship with nature. New approaches are called for to guide change processes towards sustainable futures that embrace the plurality of people’s desired relationships with nature. This paper presents a novel approach to exploring desirable futures for nature and people that was developed through an application in Nationa...

Kuiper, J. J., Kooi, B. W., Peterson, G. D., Mooij, W. M. Bridging theories for ecosystem stability through structural sensitivity analysis of ecological models in equilibrium. Acta Biotheoretica. https://doi-org.ezproxy.its.uu.se/10.1007/s10441-022-09441-7

Ecologists are challenged by the need to bridge and synthesize different approaches and theories to obtain a coherent understanding of ecosystems in a changing world. Both food web theory and regime shift theory shine light on mechanisms that confer stability to ecosystems, but from different angles. Empirical food web models are developed to analyze how equilibria in real multi-trophic ecosystems are shaped by species interac...

Mansur, A. V., McDonald, R. I., Güneralp, B., Kim, H., Puppim de Oliveira, J. A., Callaghan, C. T., Hamel, P., Kuiper, J. J., Wolff, M., Liebelt, V., Martins, I. S., Elmqvist, T., Pereira, H. M. 2022. Nature futures for the urban century: Integrating multiple values into urban management. Environmental Science and Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.01.013

There is an emerging consensus that the health of the planet depends on the coexistence between rapidly growing cities and the natural world. One strategy for guiding cities towards sustainability is to facilitate a planning process based on positive visions for urban systems among actors and stakeholders. This paper presents the Urban Nature Futures Framework (UNFF), a framework for scenario building for cities that is based ...

Raymond, C., Cebrián-Piqueras, M., Andersson, E., Andrade, R., Schnell, A., Battioni Romanelli, B., Filyushkina, A., Goodson, D., Horcea-Milcu, A., Johnson, D., Keller, R., Kuiper, J., Lo, V., López-Rodríguez, M., March, H., Metzger, M., Oteros-Rozas, E., Salcido, E., Sellberg, M., Stewart, W., Ruiz-Mallén, I., Plieninger, T., van Riper, C., Verburg, P., Wiedermann, M. 2022. Inclusive conservation and the Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework: Tensions and prospects. One Earth. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.02.008

The draft Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework commits to achievement of equity and justice outcomes and represents a “relational turn” in how we understand inclusive conservation. Although “inclusivity” is drawn on as a means to engage diverse stakeholders, widening the framing of inclusivity can create new tensions with regard to how to manage protected areas. We first offer a set of tensions that emerge in the light of ...

Laura Pereira, Jan J. Kuiper, Odirilwe Selomane, Ana Paula D. Aguiar, Ghassem R. Asrar, Elena M. Bennett, Reinette Biggs, Katherine Calvin, Steve Hedden, Angel Hsu, Jason Jabbour, Nicholas King, Alexandre C. Köberle, Paul Lucas, Jeanne Nel, Albert V. Norström, Garry Peterson, Nadia Sitas, Christopher Trisos, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Joost Vervoort & James Ward (2021) Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments, Ecosystems and People, 17:1, 191-204, DOI: 10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783

Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position to influence environmental decision-making in the context of sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new methods are needed to respond to the needs of decision-makers for a more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation of different policies, geared for action from global to local. While scenarios are an important tool for GEAs t...

Maasri, A., Jähnig, S., Adamescu, M., Adrian, R., Baigun, C., Baird, D., Batista‐Morales, A., Bonada, N., et.al. 2021. A global agenda for advancing freshwater biodiversity research. Ecology Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ele.13931

Global freshwater biodiversity is declining dramatically, and meeting the challenges of this crisis requires bold goals and the mobilisation of substantial resources. While the reasons are varied, investments in both research and conservation of freshwater biodiversity lag far behind those in the terrestrial and marine realms. Inspired by a global consultation, we identify 15 pressing priority needs, grouped into five researc...

Wyatt, K., Arkema, K., Wells-Moultrie, S., Silver, J., Lashley, B., Thomas, A., Kuiper, J., Guerry, A., Ruckelshaus, M.. 2021. Integrated and innovative scenario approaches for sustainable development planning in The Bahamas. Ecology and Society. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/es-12764-260423

Using alternative future scenarios in development planning supports the integration of diverse perspectives and the joint consideration of the needs of humans and nature. Here, we report on the use of scenarios as an integral part of a two-year sustainable development planning process for Andros Island, The Bahamas. We combined qualitative and quantitative approaches to link stakeholder visions of the future of their island w...

Ahlström, H., Hileman, J., Wang-Erlandsson, L., García, M., Moore, M., Jonas, K., Pranindita, A., Kuiper, J., Fetzer, I., Jaramillo, F., Svedin, U.. 2021. An Earth system law perspective on governing social-hydrological systems in the Anthropocene. Earth System Governance. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.esg.2021.100120

The global hydrological cycle is characterized by complex interdependencies and self-regulating feedbacks that keep water in an ever-evolving state of flux at local, regional, and global levels. Increasingly, the scale of human impacts in the Anthropocene is altering the dynamics of this cycle, which presents additional challenges for water governance. “Earth system law” provides an important approach for addressing gaps in go...

Hamel, P., Guerry, A., Polasky, S., Han, B., Douglass, J., Hamann, M., Janke, B., Kuiper, J., Levrel, H., Liu, H., Lonsdorf, E., McDonald, R., Nootenboom, C., Ouyang, Z., Remme, R., Sharp, R., Tardieu, L., Viguié, V., Xu, D., Zheng, H., Daily, G.. 2021. Mapping the benefits of nature in cities with the InVEST software. npj Urban Sustainability. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s42949-021-00027-9

Natural infrastructure such as parks, forests, street trees, green roofs, and coastal vegetation is central to sustainable urban management. Despite recent progress, it remains challenging for urban decision-makers to incorporate the benefits of natural infrastructure into urban design and planning. Here, we present an approach to support the greening of cities by quantifying and mapping the diverse benefits of natural infrast...

Downing, A., S., Chang, M., Kuiper, J.,J., Campenni, M., Häyhä, T., Cornell, S., Svedin, U., Mooji, W. 2020. Learning from generations of sustainability concepts. Environmental Research Letters, Accepted Manuscript

Background: For decades, scientists have attempted to provide a sustainable development framework that integrates goals of environmental protection and human development. The Planetary Boundaries concept (PBc) – a framework to guide sustainable development – juxtaposes a 'safe operating space for humanity' and 'planetary boundaries', to achieve a goal that decades of research have yet to meet. We here investigate if PBc is suf...